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113 comments
151 forecasters

Will Israel arm Ukraine before 2024?

80.2%chance
80.2%chance
ResolvedYes
ResolvedYes
The community gave this a 80% chance, and it resolved Yes.
Authors:
stanulamstan
Opened:Mar 29, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2024
Resolved:Nov 17, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 31, 2022
Verity
Geopolitics
🏆 2022-2023 Leaderboard
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Pentagon cleared giving Ukraine long-range Tomahawk missiles, leaving final decision to Trump
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Battle-tested Ukrainian weapons are about to hit the global arms market for the first time
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Zelensky Tells Allies Keep Funding Ukraine For 'Two or Three' More Years
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Will Ukraine launch a nuclear weapons program before 2026?

0.2% chance
242

Will the United States commit to providing Ukraine with Tomahawk missiles before December 1, 2025?

25% chance
16

How much aid (in billions USD) will US give to Israel in 2030?

3.09 billion USD
(0.957 - 4.18)
3.09 billion USD
(0.957 - 4.18)
16 forecasters
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