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- June 29, 2021
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Forecaster Stats
Level
9 (Predictor)
Predictions
3913 predictions on 594 questions (115 resolved)
Comments
1461 comments on 335 questions
Rank
180th
Achievements
Tournaments and Projects
- Alt-Protein Tournament
- Keep Virginia Safe Tournament
- Nuclear Risk Tournament
- Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making
- Global Trends 2022
- China and Global Cooperation
- Ukraine Conflict
- White Hat Cyber
Causes and Organizations
Author Stats
Questions
Forecasts
4409 unique forecasts on authored questions
Top Categories
- Geopolitics (29)
- Geopolitics – Armed Conflict (26)
- Social issues (25)
- Politics (15)
- Effective Altruism (15)
Popular Questions
- Will Kyiv be under Russian control before 2023? (1693 forecasts)
- Will Ukraine join the European Union before 2024? (1138 forecasts)
- Will the Taliban capture the Presidential Palace in Kabul by 2026-09-11? (727 forecasts)
- If Kyiv falls in 2022, when will it happen? (464 forecasts)
- When will the Taliban take Kabul? (327 forecasts)