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7 comments
67 forecasters

Will Russia or Russia-based actors cut the Kerch Strait Cable before 2023?

1%chance
1%chance
ResolvedNo
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 1% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
AlyssaStevens
Opened:Mar 22, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2023
Resolved:Jan 1, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 20, 2022
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Will China cut half or more of the undersea cables that connect Taiwan to the internet before the given years?

2035
24%
2030
9%
25 forecasters

Will either the TurkStream or Blue Stream pipeline unexpectedly cease transporting gas at any point in 2025?

7% chance
45

Will Russia annex any part of any Baltic country by 2035?

5% chance
276
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