Question
When will the abc conjecture be settled?
Total Forecasters8
Community Prediction
Feb 2039
(30 May 2030 - Jan 2073)
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CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <01 Jan 2022 | 3.0% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 30 May 2030 | — |
| median | Feb 2039 | — |
| upper 75% | Jan 2073 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2100 | 11.1% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Mar 27, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2041
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2099
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 29, 2022
Authors:
Opened:Mar 27, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2041
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2099
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 29, 2022