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- December 27, 2020
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Forecaster Stats
Level
13 (Oracle)
Predictions
1821 predictions on 376 questions (183 resolved)
Comments
165 comments on 92 questions
Rank
102nd
Achievements
Tournaments and Projects
- Trade Signal Tournament
- Nuclear Risk Tournament
- Virginia Lightning Round Tournament
- Metaculus Journal
- Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making
- Global Trends 2022
- AI Progress Essay Contest
- China and Global Cooperation
- Ukraine Conflict
- White Hat Cyber
- Humanitarian Conflict & Economic Risk
Causes and Organizations
Author Stats
Questions
Forecasts
621 unique forecasts on authored questions
Top Categories
- Mathematics – Pure Mathematics (14)
- Economy – US – Economic Indicators (6)
- Effective Altruism (6)
- Environment – Climate (4)
- Economy (3)
Popular Questions
- Will Magnus Carlsen compete in the next World Chess Championship match? (230 forecasts)
- When will China officially cease to be a socialist state? (157 forecasts)
- When will the next great financial crisis in the US occur? (152 forecasts)
- Will the Riemann Hypothesis be proved true, if it is proved by 2100? (94 forecasts)
- When will P = NP be settled? (85 forecasts)