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- December 27, 2020
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Forecaster Stats
Predictions
1856 predictions on 377 questions (265 resolved)
Comments
167 comments on 93 questions
Tournaments and Projects
- Trade Signal Tournament
- Nuclear Risk Tournament
- Virginia Lightning Round Tournament
- Metaculus Journal
- Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making
- Global Trends 2022
- AI Progress Essay Contest
- China and Global Cooperation
- Ukraine Conflict
- White Hat Cyber
- Humanitarian Conflict & Economic Risk
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Author Stats
Questions
Forecasts
765 unique forecasts on authored questions
Popular Questions
- Will Magnus Carlsen compete in the next World Chess Championship match? (261 forecasts)
- When will the next great financial crisis in the US occur? (248 forecasts)
- When will China officially cease to be a socialist state? (232 forecasts)
- Will the Riemann Hypothesis be proved true, if it is proved by 2100? (143 forecasts)
- Will a 8-year gross world product doubling complete before a 2-year doubling does? (129 forecasts)