Question
When will the abc conjecture be settled?
Total Forecasters8
Community Prediction
Feb 2036
(06 Sep 2029 - Nov 2061)
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CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <01 Jan 2022 | 3.0% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 06 Sep 2029 | — |
| median | Feb 2036 | — |
| upper 75% | Nov 2061 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2100 | 8.8% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Mar 27, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2041
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2099
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 29, 2022
Authors:
Opened:Mar 27, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2041
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2099
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 29, 2022