Question

Will Russia use chemical weapons in Ukraine in 2022?

Resolved:No

151 comments151

Total Forecasters648

Community Prediction

(1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

69.0

Community Peer Score

28.5

Authors:

Gaia

Opened:

Mar 25, 2022

Closes:

Dec 31, 2022

Resolves:

Jan 2, 2023

Spot Scoring Time:

Mar 26, 2022

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