Question
When will a climber beat Alex Honnold and Tommy Caldwell's record for climbing the Nose of El Capitan?
Total Forecasters40
Community Prediction
19 Dec 2021
(20 Jan 2021 - >06 Jul 2022)
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CDF
This question is closed for predictions, and is waiting to be resolved
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 20 Jan 2021 | — |
| median | 19 Dec 2021 | — |
| upper 75% | >06 Jul 2022 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >06 Jul 2022 | 36.1% | — |
Authors:
Opened:Jul 12, 2018
Closed:Jan 1, 2020
Scheduled resolution:Jul 7, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 14, 2018
Authors:
Opened:Jul 12, 2018
Closed:Jan 1, 2020
Scheduled resolution:Jul 7, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 14, 2018