Question

When will a climber beat Alex Honnold and Tommy Caldwell's record for climbing the Nose of El Capitan?

Total Forecasters40
Community Prediction
19 Dec 2021
(20 Jan 2021 - >06 Jul 2022)

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This question is closed for predictions, and is waiting to be resolved
QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%20 Jan 2021
median19 Dec 2021
upper 75%>06 Jul 2022
Upper bound
>06 Jul 202236.1%
Authors:
Opened:Jul 12, 2018
Closed:Jan 1, 2020
Scheduled resolution:Jul 7, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 14, 2018