Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Question
Question
How many people will be in space on April 12, 2030?
11
7 comments
7
1d
1w
2m
all
Total Forecasters
22
Community Prediction
22.4
Make a Prediction
Probability Density
Cumulative Probability
Sign Up to Predict
My Prediction
community
<5
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>1k
...
...
...
...
...
5.7%
12.92
22.43
36.94
0.3%
Background Info
Authors:
Cato
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Economy & Business
Technology
Astronomy
Yuri Gagarin
Yuri's Night
Cosmonautics Day
International Day of Human Space Flight
Fédération Aéronautique Internationale
Atmospheric science
Space Shuttle program
Aerospace engineering
Physics
Show more tags
Submit Tags Feedback
Comments
recent
? comments
Log in
Load more comments
Follow
embed
Authors:
Cato
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Economy & Business
Technology
Astronomy
Yuri Gagarin
Yuri's Night
Cosmonautics Day
International Day of Human Space Flight
Fédération Aéronautique Internationale
Atmospheric science
Space Shuttle program
Aerospace engineering
Physics
Show more tags
Submit Tags Feedback
News Match
Is this space capsule how we will live and work in orbit in the future?
FOX News
•
Oct 29, 2024
SpaceX Launches: How Many Are Left in 2024 As Company Achieves Record Year
Newsweek
•
Oct 29, 2024
The Commercial Space Age Is Here
•
Oct 30, 2024
Show More News
Learn more
about Metaculus NewsMatch
News Match
Is this space capsule how we will live and work in orbit in the future?
FOX News
•
Oct 29, 2024
SpaceX Launches: How Many Are Left in 2024 As Company Achieves Record Year
Newsweek
•
Oct 29, 2024
The Commercial Space Age Is Here
•
Oct 30, 2024
Show More News
Learn more
about Metaculus NewsMatch