Question

If humanity goes extinct due to an AI catastrophe before 2300, when will the last human die?

7 comments7

Total Forecasters70

Community Prediction

Aug 2048

(Jul 2034 - 2097)

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CDF

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%
community	Jul 2034	Aug 2048	2097
My Prediction	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	Jul 2034	—
median	Aug 2048	—
upper 75%	2097	—

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Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Apr 21, 2022

Closes:

Jan 1, 2250

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2300

Spot Scoring Time:

Apr 23, 2022

Computing and Math

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