Question
If humanity goes extinct due to an AI catastrophe before 2300, when will the last human die?
Total Forecasters67
Community Prediction
May 2044
(Mar 2033 - 2080)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | Mar 2033 | — |
| median | May 2044 | — |
| upper 75% | 2080 | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Apr 21, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2250
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2300
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 23, 2022
Authors:
Opened:Apr 21, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2250
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2300
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 23, 2022
