Question

Will Ukraine have a security guarantee from another country before 2024?

Resolved:No
12
23
Total Forecasters397
Community Prediction
0.1%
(0.1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 0.1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
84.9
Community Peer Score
19.4
Authors:
casens
Opened:Apr 20, 2022
Closes:Dec 30, 2023
Resolves:Jan 1, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 20, 2022
Ukraine Conflict
Verity
Geopolitics
2022-2023 Leaderboard