Question

Will Ukraine have de facto control of Mariupol on January 1, 2023?

Resolved:No
17
14
Total Forecasters348
Community Prediction
1%
(1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
83.8
Community Peer Score
19.9
Authors:
casens
Opened:Apr 20, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2022
Resolves:Jan 1, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 20, 2022
Ukraine Conflict
Geopolitics
2022 Leaderboard