Question

Will Ukraine have de facto control of Sevastopol on January 1, 2024?

Resolved:No
21
101
Total Forecasters658
Community Prediction
0.1%
(0.1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 0.1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
90.7
Community Peer Score
13.9
Authors:
casens
Opened:Apr 20, 2022
Closes:Dec 30, 2023
Resolves:Dec 31, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 20, 2022
Ukraine Conflict
Verity
Geopolitics
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