Question

Will Ukraine have de facto control of at least 90% of the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts on January 1, 2024?

Resolved:No
19
23
Total Forecasters506
Community Prediction
0.1%
(0.1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 0.1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
79.5
Community Peer Score
17.5
Authors:
casens
Opened:Apr 20, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2023
Resolves:Dec 31, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 20, 2022
Ukraine Conflict
Verity
Geopolitics
2022-2023 Leaderboard