Question

Will Ukraine formally pledge not to join NATO before 2024?

Resolved:No
10
11
Total Forecasters452
Community Prediction
0.1%
(0.1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 0.1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
79.9
Community Peer Score
29.0
Authors:
casens
Opened:Apr 20, 2022
Closes:Dec 30, 2023
Resolves:Dec 31, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 20, 2022
Ukraine Conflict
Geopolitics
2022-2023 Leaderboard