Question

Before 8 September 2018, will any of the remaining signatories to the Iran nuclear deal announce they are withdrawing?

Resolved:No

6 comments6

Total Forecasters103

Community Prediction

(1% - 2%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

87.1

Community Peer Score

7.3

Authors:

IARPA Question Bot

Opened:

Jul 14, 2018

Closes:

Sep 7, 2018

Resolves:

Sep 9, 2018

Spot Scoring Time:

Jul 15, 2018

IARPA 2018 Global Forecasting Challenge

Geopolitics

2018 Leaderboard

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