Question

Will the 7-day moving average of current confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia cross 1,500 before July 1, 2022?

Resolved:No

9 comments9

Total Forecasters19

Community Prediction

15%

(11% - 21%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 15%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

70.3

Community Peer Score

3.4

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Apr 20, 2022

Closes:

Apr 29, 2022

Resolves:

Jul 6, 2022

Spot Scoring Time:

Apr 22, 2022

Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making

Real-time Pandemic Decision Making: Round 8

Health & Pandemics

2022 Leaderboard

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

43%

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?

0.1%

Will any flu season before 2032 exceed 14% ED and UC visits being for ILI?

35.4%