80 forecasters

Will Russia lose control of the Kuril Islands before 2028?

1%chance

The community sees this as a toss-up.

Forecast Timeline

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Authors:

Opened:

Apr 27, 2022

Closes:

Dec 31, 2027

Scheduled resolution:

Feb 1, 2028

Spot Scoring Time:

Apr 27, 2022

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Red State•Sep 7, 2025

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