Question
Will pediatric cases of hepatitis with unknown origin be conclusively linked to COVID vaccination?
Resolved:NoTotal Forecasters85
Community Prediction
1%
(0.5% - 1%)
Make a Prediction
Did this actually happen?No
Community Peer Score
13.5
Authors:
Opened:Apr 26, 2022
Closes:Mar 31, 2023
Resolves:Apr 1, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 26, 2022
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Will any HHS study claim to show evidence of a link between vaccines and autism before January 21, 2029?
11%
What will be the average annual number of measles cases in the US from 2025 through 2030?
579
Will there be broad scientific consensus that herpes viruses are implicated in the pathogenesis of dementia, before 2040?
55%
Authors:
Opened:Apr 26, 2022
Closes:Mar 31, 2023
Resolves:Apr 1, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 26, 2022
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Will any HHS study claim to show evidence of a link between vaccines and autism before January 21, 2029?
11%
What will be the average annual number of measles cases in the US from 2025 through 2030?
579
Will there be broad scientific consensus that herpes viruses are implicated in the pathogenesis of dementia, before 2040?
55%