204 comments
803 forecasters
Will Donald Trump be jailed or incarcerated before 2030?
1%chance
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Authors:
Opened:May 2, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2029
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:May 4, 2022
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If Donald Trump is incarcerated or put under house arrest for over 30 days before 2030, what date will his confinement begin?
01 Oct 2029
(16 Nov 2027 - 18 Nov 2029)
01 Oct 2029
(16 Nov 2027 - 18 Nov 2029)
19 forecasters
Will Barack Obama be arrested before July 2026?
0.1% chance
64
Will Donald J. Trump vacate the U.S. Presidency before noon Eastern Time on January 20, 2029?
25% chance
54