Question

Will the Metaculus question about Russian troops in Kyiv in 2022 resolve ambiguously?

Resolved:Yes
Total Forecasters28
Community Prediction
50%
(49% - 60%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 50%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
-0.5
Community Peer Score
0.5
Authors:
Opened:May 8, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2023
Resolves:Jan 1, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:May 9, 2022