28 forecasters

Will the Metaculus question about Russian troops in Kyiv in 2022 resolve ambiguously?

50%chance

ResolvedYes

The community gave this a 50% chance, and it resolved Yes.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

May 8, 2022

Closes:

Jan 1, 2023

Resolved:

May 31, 2022

Spot Scoring Time:

May 9, 2022

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