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68 forecasters

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68 forecasters

Will Facebook decide to make the weights of the 175B parameter model publicly available before 2023?

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10 comments53 forecasters

Billions of Param of Largest ML Model by 2030

Current estimate

0 comments13 forecasters

Dates Publicly Downloadable Large AI Models

13 comments13 forecasters

5 million token context AI

Current estimate

0 comments25 forecasters

Dates Large AI Models Released

1 comment43 forecasters

GPT-6 release date?

Current estimate

6 comments60 forecasters

When will an AI model using neuralese recurrence be publicly available?

Current estimate

11 comments20 forecasters

Transformers Still SoTA in 2027?

4 comments63 forecasters

Frontier model released in 2029 without third-party evals?