Question
How many years after 2018 will the last human being be born?
Total Forecasters125
Community Prediction
9246 years
(<500 years - >1M years)
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CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <500 | 29.0% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | <500 | — |
| median | 9246 | — |
| upper 75% | >1M | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >1M | 26.1% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Nov 1, 2018
Closes:Jan 1, 2100
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 9999
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 3, 2018
Authors:
Opened:Nov 1, 2018
Closes:Jan 1, 2100
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 9999
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 3, 2018