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Will the next assassination of a sitting US President occur after January 1, 2100?
14
23 comments
23
1d
1w
2m
all
Total Forecasters
228
Community Prediction
28%
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community: 28.1%
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Background Info
Histogram
median
28.1%
mean
27.8%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Authors:
AdamK
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Politics
Attempted assassination of Ronald Reagan
John Wilkes Booth
William McKinley
John Hinckley Jr.
Ronald Reagan
Lee Harvey Oswald
Assassination of Abraham Lincoln
Charles J. Guiteau
Assassination of James A. Garfield
Leon Czolgosz
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Authors:
AdamK
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Politics
Attempted assassination of Ronald Reagan
John Wilkes Booth
William McKinley
John Hinckley Jr.
Ronald Reagan
Lee Harvey Oswald
Assassination of Abraham Lincoln
Charles J. Guiteau
Assassination of James A. Garfield
Leon Czolgosz
Show more tags
Submit Tags Feedback
News Match
1 in 3 People Think Donald Trump Assassination Attempts a Conspiracy: Poll
Newsweek
•
Oct 9, 2024
The ongoing assassination attempts against Donald Trump
American Thinker
•
Oct 10, 2024
Multiple assassination attempts on Trump’s life signal a new darker trend in US politics and the secret service are worried
Independent
•
Oct 14, 2024
Show More News
Learn more
about Metaculus NewsMatch
News Match
1 in 3 People Think Donald Trump Assassination Attempts a Conspiracy: Poll
Newsweek
•
Oct 9, 2024
The ongoing assassination attempts against Donald Trump
American Thinker
•
Oct 10, 2024
Multiple assassination attempts on Trump’s life signal a new darker trend in US politics and the secret service are worried
Independent
•
Oct 14, 2024
Show More News
Learn more
about Metaculus NewsMatch
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