22 comments
160 forecasters
Will Sam Bankman-Fried be one of the 100 wealthiest people in the world in 2030?
0.1%chance
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Authors:
Opened:May 18, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Feb 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:May 19, 2022
Will Sam Bankman-Fried be the richest person in the world by 2050?
0.1% chance
147
Will Sam Bankman-Fried have donated $1bn 2021 USD to charitable causes before 2031?
0.5% chance
158
How many months in prison will Sam Bankman-Fried be sentenced to before 2026?
300 months
(295 - 303)
300 months
(295 - 303)
135 forecasters