Your submission is now a Draft.

Once it's ready, please submit your draft for review by our team of Community Moderators. Thank you!

You have been invited to co-author this question.

When it is ready, the author will submit it for review by Community Moderators. Thanks for helping!


This question now needs to be reviewed by Community Moderators.

We have high standards for question quality. We also favor questions on our core topic areas or that we otherwise judge valuable. We may not publish questions that are not a good fit.

If your question has not received attention within a week, or is otherwise pressing, you may request review by tagging @moderators in a comment.

You have been invited to co-author this question.

It now needs to be approved by Community Moderators. Thanks for helping!


{{qctrl.question.predictionCount() | abbrNumber}} predictions
{{"myPredictionLabel" | translate}}:  
{{ qctrl.question.resolutionString() }}
{{qctrl.question.predictionCount() | abbrNumber}} predictions
My score: {{qctrl.question.player_log_score | logScorePrecision}}
Created by: casens and
co-authors , {{coauthor.username}}
Trustworthy News Improve the News

Make a Prediction


On May 2, 2022 POLITICO published a leaked draft of a Supreme Court Decision which would overturn Roe v. Wade and Planned Parenthood v. Casey. Justice Alito wrote "The inescapable conclusion is that a right to abortion is not deeply rooted in the Nation's history and traditions." Ciara Torres-Spelliscy, law professor at Stetson University, said of Alito's leaked opinion: "After this [opinion], Loving, Windsor, and Obergefell are all on constitutionally thin ice." Loving v. Virginia is a landmark 1967 SCOTUS case which found that laws banning inter-racial marriage were unconstitutional.

Michelle Deal-Zimmerman, writing for the Baltimore Sun in May 2022, wrote "If, OK, when the U.S. Supreme Court gets around to banning interracial marriage, my husband and I wonder what will happen. [...] I don’t wish to sound alarmist, but a lot of things we have taken for granted during the last half-century appear to be crumbling before our eyes."

David Bernstein, Law Professor writing for reason.com said in May 2022, "No, the Supreme Court is Not Going to Reconsider the Constitutionality of Bans on Interracial Marriage [...] overruling Loving would be politically unthinkable."