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51 comments
173 forecasters

When will an original, wholly AI-generated feature film rank #1 on a popular streaming service?

Current estimate
27 Aug 2029
Authors:
mkaic
Opened:May 23, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2200
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2200
Spot Scoring Time:May 25, 2022
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When will AI wholly create an original, critically-acclaimed feature film?

Jan 2031
(12 Feb 2028 - Jan 2036)
Jan 2031
(12 Feb 2028 - Jan 2036)
106 forecasters

When will a primarily-AI-made movie accomplish these types of success?

Award Nomination
>31 Dec 2029
Tops Netflix
02 Apr 2028
>$10M Box Office
20 Jan 2028
2 others
35 forecasters

When will the New York Times publish an article that it claims or acknowledges is 100% written by AI?

In 2026-2027
49.2%
In 2028-2029
23%
2030 or later
19.6%
2 others
15 forecasters
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