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79 comments
218 forecasters

How many human infections of monkeypox will be estimated to have occurred before 2023, worldwide?

community
104k
result
Ambiguous
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
GaiaTamay
Opened:May 18, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2022
Resolved:Feb 25, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:May 19, 2022
Mpox (Monkeypox)
Health & Pandemics
2021-2025 Leaderboard
Independent logo
A new Ebola outbreak has been declared. Here’s what we know
Independent•Sep 16, 2025
Independent logo
A new Ebola outbreak has been declared. Here’s what we know
Independent•Sep 15, 2025
Daily Mail logo
Ebola cases double as towns lock down to prevent spread and global health officials fear another pandemic
Daily Mail•Sep 12, 2025
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many people will die from the new Ebola outbreak before 2026?

57.5 Deaths
(37.1 - 108)
57.5 Deaths
(37.1 - 108)
99 forecasters

When will human cases of HPAI clade 2.3.4.4b avian influenza exceed 500,000?

Aug 2033
(12 Apr 2030 - >Jan 2040)
Aug 2033
(12 Apr 2030 - >Jan 2040)
15 forecasters

Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?

1% chance
97
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