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26 comments
90 forecasters

How many states in the United States will report having a case of monkeypox as of July 1, 2022?

community
28.1
result
29
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
juancambeiro
Opened:May 19, 2022
Closes:Jun 30, 2022
Resolved:Jul 1, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:May 20, 2022
Mpox (Monkeypox)
Health & Pandemics
🏆 2022 Leaderboard
Breitbart logo
Severe Strain of Monkeypox Virus Detected in Los Angeles
Breitbart•Oct 17, 2025
Independent logo
Two monkeypox cases in California under investigation
Independent•Oct 17, 2025
Associated Press logo
California mpox cases raise concerns. But health officials say the risk remains low
Associated Press•Oct 17, 2025
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026?

1.4% chance
223

How many total human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States for 2024 and 2025?

77.8 cases
(69.4 - 97.1)
77.8 cases
(69.4 - 97.1)
90 forecasters

How many measles cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?

540 cases
(248 - 1154)
540 cases
(248 - 1154)
25 forecasters
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