🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will the US respond with military force?

20
26
Total Forecasters333
Community Prediction51% (40% - 65%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 51%
Authors:
Matthew_Barnett
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
The Taiwan Tinderbox
Geopolitics
People's Liberation Army
China
President of the US
Taiwan–US relations
Taiwan
United States
Joint Chiefs of Staff

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