4 forecasters

Conditional on civilization launching one or more von Neumann probes by 2200 that will reach another solar system within 100,000 years, what will be the average speed of the fastest one, in c (> 1)?

Current estimate

193 c

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Authors:

Opened:

Aug 11, 2022

Closes:

Jan 1, 2200

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2200

Spot Scoring Time:

Aug 13, 2022