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3.9k comments
3.6k forecasters

Who will be elected US President in 2024?

Donald Trumpresult: Yes
Gretchen Whitmerresult: No
Pete Buttigiegresult: No
Authors:
casens
Opened:Oct 16, 2020
Closes:Nov 7, 2024
Resolved:Jan 6, 2025
Elections
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Independent logo
Gavin Newsom won’t rule out running for president in 2028, says he’s focused on midterms first
Independent•Oct 26, 2025
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Newsom to Consider White House Run After 2026 Midterms
Newsweek•Oct 26, 2025
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Gavin Newsom says he will consider White House run after 2026 elections
CBS•Oct 26, 2025
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Who will be the 2028 Democratic nominee for President of the United States?

Other
34.9%
Gavin Newsom
30.2%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
10.1%
5 others
178 forecasters

Will Trump win the 2024 presidential election and retain supreme executive power past 2028?

2.5% chance
173

When will the Republican presidential nominee next win the state of Massachusetts in a US Presidential Election?

2024
No
2028
1%
2032
5%
6 others
25 forecasters
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