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47 comments
130 forecasters

How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?

community
8.56
result
9
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
juancambeiro
Opened:Jun 9, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2024
Resolved:Jan 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 11, 2022
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Q&A on the 2025-2026 COVID-19 Vaccines
Factcheck•Oct 11, 2025
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New Study Finds Annual COVID Vaccines Protect People against Severe Disease, Even with Prior Immunity
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What will be the average annual number of measles cases in the US from 2025 through 2030?

705 cases
(441 - >1000)
705 cases
(441 - >1000)
35 forecasters

What will be the national kindergarten measles vaccination rate in the US for the 2028-2029 school year?

90.9%
(88.7 - 92.9)
90.9%
(88.7 - 92.9)
14 forecasters

What will be the COVID-19 booster coverage for the 2025-26 season among the following groups in the US?

Adults 65+
43.6
Adults 18+
21.6
Children 6 months to 17 years
12.3
16 forecasters
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