Question
When will a SARS-CoV-2 variant overtake Omicron as the dominant variant globally?
Resolved:Above upper boundTotal Forecasters140
Community Prediction
>01 Jan 2025 00:00
(>01 Jan 2025 00:00 - >01 Jan 2025 00:00)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | >01 Jan 2025 00:00 | — |
| median | >01 Jan 2025 00:00 | — |
| upper 75% | >01 Jan 2025 00:00 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >01 Jan 2025 00:00 | 92.5% | — |
What was the final result?Above upper bound
Community Baseline Score
112.6
Community Peer Score
69.9
Authors:
Opened:Jun 9, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2024
Resolves:Jan 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 11, 2022
Authors:
Opened:Jun 9, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2024
Resolves:Jan 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 11, 2022