Question

Before 2032, will the US declare a new public health emergency due to an infectious disease outbreak or bioterrorist attack?

Resolved:Yes
Total Forecasters39
Community Prediction
79%
(75% - 86%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 79%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
3.1
Community Peer Score
2.0
Authors:
Opened:Jun 16, 2022
Closes:Jan 3, 2025
Resolves:Jan 3, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 18, 2022