7 comments
39 forecasters
Before 2032, will the US declare a new public health emergency due to an infectious disease outbreak or bioterrorist attack?
79%chance
ResolvedYes
The community gave this a 79% chance, and it resolved Yes.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Jun 16, 2022
Closes:Jan 3, 2025
Resolved:Aug 4, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 18, 2022
Will the US Department of Health and Human Services declare a public health emergency for H5 avian influenza before January 1, 2026?
1% chance
89
Will the WHO declare an avian influenza virus in humans a Public Health Emergency of International Concern before 2030?
59% chance
59
Will the WHO declare H5 avian influenza to be a Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) before 2026?
1% chance
263