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32 comments
77 forecasters

How much will the average degree of automation change for key US professions from December 2020 to the following dates?

This question is closed for predictions, and is waiting to be resolved

Authors:
casens
Opened:Jan 14, 2021
Closed:Apr 14, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2029
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How American Salaries Are Set To Change in 2026
Newsweek•Sep 13, 2025
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What will be the percent change in the number of U.S. law school graduates securing full-time, long-term positions that require passing the bar exam, compared to the class of 2022?

2025
5.82
2030
2.49
2035
-0.358
13 forecasters

Will the US employment-population ratio fall below the COVID-19 low (51.3%) in any month in the following years, due to AI or otherwise?

2030
10%
2026
2%
2023
No
1 other
43 forecasters

Will employment in US knowledge-intensive sectors (NAICS 52 and 54) decline by more than 1% in any single month before 2030?

28% chance
2
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