🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Group

How much will the average degree of automation change for key US professions from December 2020 to the following dates?

2
32
76 forecasters

Make a Prediction

Dateresolution
Date25thmedian75th

PDF

CDF

community
<-15
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>25
0.6%
-1.037
1.695
4.738
0.7%

What was the final result?1.31

Community Baseline Score
71.7
Community Peer Score
20.5

Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 51
Authors:
casens
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Forecasting AI Progress
AI Progress Essay Contest
Forecasting AI Progress: Hill Climbing Round
Artificial Intelligence
Economy & Business
2021-2025 Leaderboard
2021 Leaderboard
Occupational Information Network
United States

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