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377
comments
875
forecasters
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the following years?
2025
result:
No
2026
1%
2028
15%
2 others
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Predict
Comments
Timeline
In the News
Question Info
Resolution Criteria
Key Factors
Background Info
Timeline
1d
1w
2m
all
2026
2028
2030
Others (2)
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embed
Authors:
casens
Opened:
May 6, 2022
Closes:
Jan 1, 2035
Scheduled resolution:
Jan 1, 2035
The Taiwan Tinderbox
Geopolitics
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