🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Group

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the following years?

73
354
784 forecasters

Make a Prediction

DateMe
2035
34%
2030
25%
2025
no

Forecast Timeline

Authors:
casens
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
The Taiwan Tinderbox
Geopolitics
2021-2025 Leaderboard
Republic of China Armed Forces
Li Zuocheng
People's Liberation Army
China
Penghu
Hong Kong
Taiwan
Chinese Civil War
Kinmen

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