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If there is at least one nuclear detonation by 2030, in which countries will there be at least one fatality?

11
11
248 forecasters

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RegionMe
Ukraine
33%
Israel
17%
Pakistan
10%
Russia
9%
India
7%
North Korea
6%
China
1.2%
US, UK, or France
1%
Authors:
Opened:Oct 28, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2029
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030

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