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If there is at least one nuclear detonation by 2030, in which countries will there be at least one fatality?
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| Region | My Prediction | Me | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Ukraine | 25% | |||
Israel | 20% | |||
Pakistan | 10% | |||
India | 6% | |||
North Korea | 5% | |||
Russia | 4% | |||
US, UK, or France | 2% | |||
China | 1% | |||
Authors:
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
At least 1 fatality in a non-nuclear-armed state from a nuclear detonation by 2030, if any detonation occurs?
70%
If these countries are attacked by a nuclear weapon by 2030, how many cities in that country will be offensively attacked?
Will there be at least one fatality in the US from a non-test nuclear detonation by 2050 if a non-test detonation causes a fatality anywhere?
28%
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
At least 1 fatality in a non-nuclear-armed state from a nuclear detonation by 2030, if any detonation occurs?
70%
If these countries are attacked by a nuclear weapon by 2030, how many cities in that country will be offensively attacked?
Will there be at least one fatality in the US from a non-test nuclear detonation by 2050 if a non-test detonation causes a fatality anywhere?
28%