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If there is at least one nuclear detonation by 2030, in which countries will there be at least one fatality?

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305 forecasters

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RegionMe
China
2%
Ukraine
16%
Israel
15%
Pakistan
10%
India
10%
Russia
7%
North Korea
2%
US, UK, or France
2%
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Authors:
Opened:Oct 28, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2029
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030