• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
68 comments
112 forecasters

How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election?

Labourresult: 411
Conservativeresult: 121
Liberal Democratresult: 72
Authors:
adamcorlettcasens
Opened:Aug 19, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2024
Resolved:Jul 7, 2024
Elections
🏆 2021-2025 Leaderboard
Canary logo
Greens now just two points behind Labour as the Zack surge continues
Canary•Oct 11, 2025
Guardian logo
Plaid Cymru leader predicts two-horse race with Reform in Welsh elections
Guardian•Oct 9, 2025
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Who will win the next UK Labour Party Leadership Election?

Keir Starmer
23%
Andy Burnham
15%
Rachel Reeves
10%
6 others
90 forecasters

Which party will win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies in the next Italian election?

Brothers of Italy
73%
Democratic Party
24%
Five Star Movement
1%
6 others
24 forecasters

What will the GDP of the UK be (in billions GBP), given Liz Truss wins the Conservative Party leadership contest?

2022
2230
2023
2274
2025
2297
2 others
10 forecasters
  • About
  • API
  • FAQ
  • forecasting resources
  • For Journalists
  • Careers
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use
ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature