Question
When will the Metaculus Algorithm break its worst prediction record?
Resolved:15 Nov 2022 15:30Total Forecasters10
Community Prediction
28 Jan 2023
(10 Nov 2022 22:02 - 15 Dec 2023)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 10 Nov 2022 22:02 | — |
| median | 28 Jan 2023 | — |
| upper 75% | 15 Dec 2023 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >Jan 2040 | 0.2% | — |
What was the final result?15 Nov 2022 15:30
Community Peer Score
0.3
Authors:
Opened:Jun 28, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2040
Resolves:Jan 1, 2040
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 30, 2022
Authors:
Opened:Jun 28, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2040
Resolves:Jan 1, 2040
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 30, 2022