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When will self-driving taxis be available to Metaculus users?

102 comments102

197 forecasters

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Tesla

Any Service

Waymo

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Driverless Service

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Authors:

isinlor casens

Opened:

Sep 29, 2020

Closes:

Dec 26, 2034

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 26, 2034

Economy & Business

Artificial Intelligence

Waymo’s robotaxies to start carrying riders in Atlanta, expanding Uber partnership

PBS NewsHour•Jun 24, 2025

Waymo's robotaxis to start carrying passengers in Atlanta

NBC•Jun 24, 2025

Uber and Waymo’s commercial robotaxi service is open for business in Atlanta

TechCrunch•Jun 24, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

On January 1, 2026, in how many US states will Waymo's rider-only ride-hailing service be available to the general public?

4.14

When will 5%, 10%, and 20% of the US population have access to L4 or L5 self-driving?

Feb 2034

When will autonomous flying vehicles be commercially available?

Dec 2037

Authors:

isinlor casens

Opened:

Sep 29, 2020

Closes:

Dec 26, 2034

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 26, 2034

Economy & Business

Artificial Intelligence

Waymo’s robotaxies to start carrying riders in Atlanta, expanding Uber partnership

PBS NewsHour•Jun 24, 2025

Waymo's robotaxis to start carrying passengers in Atlanta

NBC•Jun 24, 2025

Uber and Waymo’s commercial robotaxi service is open for business in Atlanta

TechCrunch•Jun 24, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

On January 1, 2026, in how many US states will Waymo's rider-only ride-hailing service be available to the general public?

4.14

When will 5%, 10%, and 20% of the US population have access to L4 or L5 self-driving?

Feb 2034

When will autonomous flying vehicles be commercially available?

Dec 2037