Question
If there is a new pandemic before 2032, how long (in days) will it be from the first US laboratory-confirmed case until the first FDA-approved vaccine?
Total Forecasters96
Community Prediction
275
(213 - 356)
Make a Prediction
CDF
This question is closed for predictions, and is waiting to be resolved
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 213.1 | — |
| median | 275.5 | — |
| upper 75% | 356.4 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >730 | 1.9% | — |
Authors:
Opened:Jul 1, 2022
Closed:Jan 10, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2032
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 31, 2022
Authors:
Opened:Jul 1, 2022
Closed:Jan 10, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2032
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 31, 2022