5 comments
152 forecasters
What type of pathogen will cause the next pandemic?
Orthomyxoviridae58%
Other 24 known HIVF25%
Coronaviridae15%
Authors:
Opened:Jul 8, 2022
Closed:Jan 10, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2032
Ragnarök Question Series: if a global biological catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?
8% chance
161
Will the WHO announce a non-H5N1 pandemic before 2027?
15% chance
8
Will the WHO declare an avian influenza virus in humans a Public Health Emergency of International Concern before 2030?
45% chance
65