5 comments
152 forecasters
What type of pathogen will cause the next pandemic?
Orthomyxoviridae58%
Other 24 known HIVF25%
Coronaviridae15%
Authors:
Opened:Jul 8, 2022
Closed:Jan 10, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2032
Ragnarök Question Series: if a global biological catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?
7% chance
159
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?
23% chance
225
Will an avian influenza virus in humans be declared a “Public Health Emergency of International Concern” by the World Health Organization before 2030?
65% chance
53