🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

When will an ML model achieve 90% of human-crowd performance on Autocast?

13
5
Total Forecasters31
Community Prediction2026-09-04 (2024-11-29 - 2028-12-17)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

weight:
My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2032-06-29
...
...
...
...
2024-11-29 20:58
2026-09-04 23:30
2028-12-17 19:08
7.0%
Authors:
Tamay
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
AI Technical Benchmarks
Artificial Intelligence
Data analysis
Software engineering
Machine learning
AutoCAST

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