Question
When will AI be capable of getting a perfect score on the Miklós Schweitzer Competition?
Total Forecasters34
Community Prediction
11 Mar 2030
(31 Mar 2027 - Nov 2036)
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CDF
Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
lower 25% | 31 Mar 2027 | — |
median | 11 Mar 2030 | — |
upper 75% | Nov 2036 | — |
Upper bound | ||
>2100 | 0.3% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Jul 4, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2100
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 6, 2022
Authors:
Opened:Jul 4, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2100
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 6, 2022